Tuesday, December 15, 2009

2009 Catching Position

We always hear from managers that baseball is a team game. I am not completely convinced, I would more likely describe it as a game of individual performances combined. Maybe it's the same, maybe not. I crunched some numbers recently on how the royals performed at each position in 2009 compared to the other teams in the AL. I imagine, or at least hope that Dayton and his people have done this kind of analysis already but I think it will provide us some interesting information. At the very least it should show us which positions the Royals struggled at and where they need to improve.

Most people who followed the Royals pretty close in 2009, probably have a good idea of where we rank at each position, but a few were a surprise to me. I hope you learn something from this information.

So let's start with the catching position. Since that has been a really big focus this offseason for Dayton and some moves have already been made, it should be interesting.

The Royals had 3 players catch for them last year.

Name G AVG OBP SLG OPS HR R RBI BB SO
Brayan Pena
30 0.330 0.360 0.532 0.892 4 11 11 5 6
John Buck
46 0.288 0.329 0.569 0.898 8 16 33 9 41
Miguel Olivo 103 0.244 0.286 0.466 0.753 19 43 55 16 121

Now, as a group, lets see how they compare to the rest of the AL. The below chart is sorted by sOPS+, which essentially is how they compared to the rest of the teams catching position. 100 = league average over 100 is better than league average. I also formatted the chart as a heat chart, which if you ever look at this blog, you know I love. Red = best, Green = worst.

Team Split BA OBP SLG OPS sOPS+ HR
Twins as C .340 .415 .516 .931 160 23
Royals as C .270 .310 .504 .814 124 31
Yankees as C .269 .330 .438 .767 113 22
Orioles as C .270 .343 .406 .750 109 14
Red Sox as C .239 .333 .417 .750 109 20
Athletics as C .267 .308 .435 .744 106 22
White Sox as C .284 .325 .417 .742 106 17
Angels as C .239 .317 .408 .725 102 22
Indians as C .225 .330 .365 .695 95 15
Rangers as C .234 .286 .379 .665 85 17
Mariners as C .224 .282 .354 .636 77 13
Blue Jays as C .230 .259 .374 .633 75 20
Rays as C .233 .276 .349 .624 74 13
Tigers as C .215 .295 .327 .622 74 9


This one shocked me. Utilizing the OPS+ statistic, the Royals had the second best catching core in the American League. As a group they had a relatively low OBP, which was anchored by Miguel Olivo walking only 16 times in 103 games. But the OPS is buoyed by the high SLG which came primarily from Buck and Pena. Olivo had the most homeruns in the group, but only because he played in more games. The Royals catchers also lead the AL in homeruns, I would have bet good money that we did not lead any position in homeruns.

Dayton Moore let Miguel Olivo walk in the offseason. Which according to the numbers was the right move.

The Royals just inked a deal with Jason Kendall, who did the following last year.

Name G AVG OBP SLG OPS HR R RBI BB SO
Jason Kendall 134 0.241 0.331 0.305 0.636 2 48 43 46 58

Now, so far I've been completely neglecting all other aspects of the catching position. That is primarily because personally, I have no idea how to possibly compare the three catchers in that respect. I could post pass ball numbers, but that is only skin deep. I don't know how well one would handle the pitchers over the other, which admittedly is a big part of the catching position however, I do think I can say one thing about this: neither does Dayton. Well at least in regards to signing a free agent.

I am sure that some catchers have a better ability to handle a pitching staff and a better ability to call a game from behind the plate, but I highly doubt that Dayton Moore or anyone outside of Kendalls own teamates and coaches know how well he can handle a pitching staff. It is also quite possible that he would be good with one staff and poor with another. I think it is the wildcard of all the attributes of a catcher and I won't put any emphasis on that at all in this post.

So going purely on the offensive output of the players in the last season, Kendall makes little sense. Buck outperformed Kendall in nearly every statistical category, plus he knows the pitching staff pretty well which I would imagine would give him a leg up.

I know what you are saying..."you cherry picked only one season of kendall and Buck". That is probably very true, you can look them both up on the internet if you like but let me just sum it up like this.

1. Kendalls 2009 was very similar to his 2008 and he is 35
2. Bucks 2009 was the best year of his career and he is 28

Frankly, I think we could sum up the choice of Buck vs Kendall with those two points alone. Again, this is entirely offensively focused. Kendall could be 10x the defensive catcher and 10x the game caller and it would change things somewhat. All we have is some anecdotal evidence to look at anyway. But regardless we are talking about the BACKUP catcher anyway.

Yep, backup. The Royals 2010 season isn't a contending year unless they get extremely lucky and everybody steps up big time (hint: it ain't happening), so it is (another) rebuilding year. Or at least a year to move forward. The Royals should be finding out what we have in our young players to see if they can be middle or long term answers at the position, and especially at the catching position.

Pena is no spring chicken being 27, but he has never had a chance to prove himself at the major league level. He got 64 games last year and frankly proved he can be a decent hitter.

We all know that the Royals had a woeful offense last year and the catching position was one of the few bright spots. Yet he is making nearly wholesale changes to it, and is spending loads of money on an aging veteran who likely won't improve at all. It reminds me exactly of what he did with the bullpen last year. He took one of the teams few strengths, let go of the contributors and signed overpriced old guys. It didn't work with the pen last year and I don't see it working with the catching this year. Fortunately, the offense expected out of the catching position is minor so this isn't quite as big a deal as the bullpen fiasco of last offseason.

This is supposed to be a position in review post, but with the Kendall signing I felt I had to make a comment on that.

Royals Garden Gnome

You know you want this:

2009 Dominican Summer League Team Batting Heat Chart

Below is the final installment of the hitting heat charts. This is the Dominican Summer League. The DSL Royals are highlighted. Green = worst in category and Red = best.

Team G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO SB CS OBP SLG AVG OPS
DSL White Sox 70 2401 442 672 111 44 30 351 961 307 469 71 58 0.375 0.4 0.28 0.775
DSL Yankees1 68 2371 412 645 118 34 30 318 921 297 589 91 33 0.361 0.388 0.272 0.749
DSL Yankees2 70 2370 441 636 112 37 38 363 936 292 506 81 37 0.36 0.395 0.268 0.755
DSL Mets 72 2502 460 662 112 27 28 369 912 345 579 193 69 0.37 0.365 0.265 0.734
DSL Rays 67 2227 422 588 99 22 19 313 788 307 482 128 59 0.37 0.354 0.264 0.724
DSL Rangers2 62 2046 341 533 95 18 16 254 712 271 368 112 46 0.361 0.348 0.261 0.709
DSL Blue Jays 69 2331 374 602 112 29 11 291 805 299 502 113 55 0.355 0.345 0.258 0.7
DSL Pirates 67 2307 336 582 115 32 20 261 821 184 442 109 55 0.32 0.356 0.252 0.676
DSL Cubs1 70 2294 357 578 89 30 28 277 811 282 510 133 48 0.343 0.354 0.252 0.697
DSL Indians 71 2403 348 604 112 19 12 283 790 256 546 102 50 0.339 0.329 0.251 0.667
DSL Cardinals 73 2376 392 595 118 36 21 307 848 300 538 143 53 0.346 0.357 0.25 0.703
DSL Braves 63 2173 325 544 96 25 13 261 729 221 429 61 31 0.335 0.335 0.25 0.671
DSL Rockies 71 2325 316 576 79 16 13 243 726 257 465 138 78 0.336 0.312 0.248 0.648
DSL Giants 71 2349 404 579 78 22 16 309 749 347 480 103 48 0.361 0.319 0.246 0.68
DSL Dodgers 70 2361 336 575 95 17 26 260 782 283 506 68 40 0.341 0.331 0.244 0.672
DSL Tigers 69 2189 370 532 80 16 33 290 743 293 460 87 34 0.347 0.339 0.243 0.687
DSL Phillies 71 2235 312 539 103 23 10 242 718 270 472 96 78 0.342 0.321 0.241 0.664
DSL Twins 69 2253 343 542 90 13 11 269 691 302 464 112 52 0.344 0.307 0.241 0.651
DSL Marlins 68 2345 331 563 87 25 13 254 739 298 459 109 56 0.336 0.315 0.24 0.651
DSL Diamondbacks 69 2320 325 552 91 18 18 250 733 293 607 68 37 0.34 0.316 0.238 0.656
DSL Cubs2 68 2250 313 534 89 26 19 233 732 247 543 111 63 0.327 0.325 0.237 0.653
DSL Reds 70 2275 312 529 98 21 20 246 729 253 525 66 44 0.322 0.32 0.233 0.643
DSL Mariners 73 2264 337 523 95 17 27 254 733 293 606 143 75 0.331 0.324 0.231 0.655
DSL Red Sox 69 2263 381 521 93 31 20 296 736 367 515 115 40 0.351 0.325 0.23 0.676
DSL Athletics 71 2252 276 511 95 16 20 217 698 228 603 93 57 0.316 0.31 0.227 0.626
DSL Orioles 71 2360 287 533 75 23 7 222 675 240 494 114 33 0.311 0.286 0.226 0.597
DSL Royals 68 2165 305 488 85 22 16 235 665 281 526 79 51 0.333 0.307 0.225 0.64
DSL Nationals 71 2347 325 522 97 23 25 254 740 352 599 99 44 0.338 0.315 0.222 0.653
DSL Padres 71 2293 384 504 91 22 26 307 717 371 597 86 41 0.345 0.313 0.22 0.657
DSL O's/Brewers 70 2260 312 488 79 18 19 239 660 260 602 95 66 0.314 0.292 0.216 0.606
DSL Rangers1 64 2054 239 440 66 10 9 173 553 241 510 77 42 0.312 0.269 0.214 0.581
DSL Angels 64 2082 292 441 92 25 11 224 616 234 546 108 51 0.301 0.296 0.212 0.596
DSL Astros 64 2099 256 443 96 17 11 183 606 251 484 103 43 0.308 0.289 0.211 0.597