Tuesday, February 9, 2010

2009 Offensive Positions

I did a quick and dirty rundown of each Royals position from 2009 in terms of offensive production. The point was to see what positions kept the Royals down and which propped them up. It was an exercise to see where the Royals should spend the off season focusing (SS, CF, RF, DH) and where they could stand relatively pat (1B, 2B, C, 3B). I know we are quickly getting closer to 2010 so reviews of the 2009 season are getting to be old hat, but I wanted to finalize this with an overview. Plus, I made some really nerdy graphs that I needed to share.

In the previous posts I have mostly compared the Royals to the rest of the AL, but now I want to focus a little bit more on the AL Central. The stats will be how they rank and compare to the rest of the AL, but I will mostly be focusing on where the AL Central teams rank within the AL. Confused yet?

Quickly, here is a quick chart showing the OPS+ of the Royals at each position. Each position is compared only to the other AL teams at that position. Catchers compared to catchers...etc.

Team Split sOPS+
Royals as C 124
Royals as 2B 112
Royals as 1B 97
Royals as LF 95
Royals as 3B 94
Royals as CF 78
Royals as RF 74
Royals as DH 67
Royals as SS 58

At quick glance it isn't THAT bad, right? It kind of follows the bell curve, a couple of good positions a few bad ones and a cluster in the middle. However, the lower end of the bell curve is VERY low. An OPS+ in the 50s or 60s is really bad and one in the 70s is not great, a 100 is theoretically average, so with that in mind the Royals had 5-7 below average and 2-4 above average. So how did they compare to their own division?


The following list is every position in the AL central and what their OPS+ was in comparison to the same position. So the 2B are compared only to the 2B in the AL, etc.

Team Split sOPS+
Twins as C 160
Royals as C 124
Tigers as 1B 121
Indians as RF 117
Twins as DH 112
Royals as 2B 112
Tigers as CF 112
Twins as 1B 111
Indians as SS 110
Twins as RF 109
Indians as CF 108
White Sox as DH 107
White Sox as C 106
White Sox as RF 104
White Sox as SS 104
Twins as LF 102
Royals as 1B 97
Tigers as LF 97
Indians as DH 97
White Sox as 1B 96
White Sox as LF 96
Indians as 1B 95
Royals as LF 95
Tigers as 2B 95
Indians as C 95
Tigers as RF 94
Royals as 3B 94
White Sox as 3B 94
Tigers as 3B 92
Indians as 3B 90
Twins as CF 90
Twins as SS 89
Indians as 2B 88
Indians as LF 87
Twins as 3B 85
White Sox as 2B 83
Tigers as DH 82
Tigers as SS 79
Royals as CF 78
Royals as RF 74
Tigers as C 74
Royals as DH 67
White Sox as CF 63
Royals as SS 58
Twins as 2B 54

The 2B and C positions did very well compared to their peers in 2009, but the CF, RF, DH and SS positions were bad, really bad. The Royals had 4 of the worst 7 positions in the division. That is exactly how you have a terrible offensive team. This was pretty obvious if you had watched the team or read my previous posts. However, I think this chart really illustrates how many holes this team had. The Twins showed that you can have a hole offensively and be a pretty darn good offensive ballclub.

Let's look at this more visually. The following is a radar or polar graph of the above chart. Around the circle are positions and the lines represent each AL Central team. The edge of the circle represents the top ranked position in the AL, while the center is the worst.



Ok, I know. That graph is kind of out of control, but give it a minute. I am sure there is a better way to present the data, but once you let your mind absorb the information it is a decent way to show the information at a glance.

The first thing I see is that AL Central teams have lots of the worst ranked positions in the league (Tigers C, Twins 2B, Royals SS, White Sox CF, Royals RF, Royals DH). So in six of the nine positions the worst overall comes from the division. That is a lot of bad hitting.

It also becomes clear that the top two teams (Twins and Tigers) both had one position that led the entire AL (Twins C and Tigers CF). Having a dominant player at a single position can be an enormous difference maker on a team, moreso I think than people realize (see Cardinals, St. Louis).

So enough loooking back at 2009 and the decade of the 2000s.  It was bad, we lived through it and onto the next season and the next decade.  It can't get worse, right?

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